Fitting Percentage of Body Fat to Simple Body Measurements: College Women

Percentage of body fat, age, weight, height, and 14 circumference measurements (e.g., waist) are given for 184 women aged 18–25. Body fat, one measure of health, was accurately determined by an underwater weighing technique which requires special equipment and training of the individuals conducting the process. Modeling body fat percentage using multiple regression provides a convenient method of estimating body fat percentage using measures collected using only a measuring tape and a scale. This dataset can be used to show students the utility of multiple regression and to provide practice in model building.

Plasmonic Scattering Imaging of Surface-Bonded Nanoparticles at the Solution-Solid Interface.

Imaging nanoscale objects at interfaces is essential for revealing surface-tuned mechanisms in chemistry, physics, and life science. Plasmonic-based imaging, a label-free and surface-sensitive technique, has been widely used for studying the chemical and biological behavior of nanoscale objects at interfaces. However, direct imaging of surface-bonded nanoscale objects remains challenging due to uneven image backgrounds. Here, we present a new surface-bonded nanoscale object detection microscopy that eliminates strong background interference by reconstructing accurate scattering patterns at different positions. Our method effectively functions at low signal-to-background ratios, allowing for optical scattering detection of surface-bonded polystyrene nanoparticles and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 pseudovirus. It is also compatible with other imaging configurations, such as bright-field imaging. This technique complements existing methods for dynamic scattering imaging and broadens the applications of plasmonic imaging techniques for high-throughput sensing of surface-bonded nanoscale objects, enhancing our understanding of the properties, composition, and morphology of nanoparticles and surfaces at the nanoscale.

Taking on Typhoid: Eliminating Typhoid Fever as a Global Health Problem.

Typhoid fever is a significant global health problem that impacts people living in areas without access to clean water and sanitation. However, collaborative international partnerships and new research have improved both knowledge of the burden in countries with endemic disease and the tools for improved surveillance, including environmental surveillance. Two typhoid conjugate vaccines (TCVs) have achieved World Health Organization prequalification, with several more in the development pipeline. Despite hurdles posed by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic, multiple TCV efficacy trials have been conducted in high-burden countries, and data indicate that TCVs provide a high degree of protection from typhoid fever, are safe to use in young children, provide lasting protection, and have the potential to combat typhoid antimicrobial resistance. Now is the time to double down on typhoid control and elimination by sustaining progress made through water, sanitation, and hygiene improvements and accelerating TCV introduction in high-burden locations.

Analysis of case-based malaria surveillance and response during the period of COVID-19 outbreak in China

Objective To assess the case-based malaria surveillance and response during the period of COVID-19 outbreak in China, in order to provide reference for malaria elimination under the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods Information of malaria cases reported during the four months pre - and post-COVID -19 outbreak (December 1, 2019-March 31, 2020) and in the same time period of past two years in China (excluding Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan regions) was obtained from the Parasitic Disease Control Information Management System. Cross-sectional survey and comparison were conducted for malaria surveillance and response data in 3 four-month time periods (December 1, 2019 to January 22, 2020;January 23 to March 17, 2020;and March 18-31, 2020). The number of malaria cases including deaths, the median and average time interval from disease onset to the first visit, the median and average of time interval from the first visit to the confirmed diagnosis, the completion status of the #1-3-7$ task and the source of infections in each period were analyzed and compared to the same times in the past two years. Results From December 1, 2019 to March 31, 2020, a total of 750 malaria cases, which were all imported cases, were reported in China, decreased by 9.2% from that reported during December 2018 and March 2019 (826 cases) and by 13.1% from that reported during December 2017 to March 2018 (863 cases). The decrease mainly occurred in February and March in 2020;there were no statistical differences in the time interval from onset to first visit (median 1 day, mean 2.0 days), time interval from first visit to confirmed diagnosis (median 1 day, mean 1.8 days), case reporting rate within 1 day (100%), case epidemiological investigation rate within 3 days (98.4%), epidemic site disposal rate within 7 days (100%) between the time period of COVID-19 outbreak and the same time in the past year (December 2018 to March 2019). In addition, no statistical difference (! > 0.05) was found in the time intervals from onset to first visit among the first period [median 1 d, average (1.9 +/- 0.2) d], the second period [median 1 d, average (2.1 +/- 0.3) d] and the third period [median 1 d, mean (1.5 +/- 0.3) d], while the time interval from the first visit to the confirmed diagnosis was statistically different (! X 0.05) among the first period [median 0 d, average (1.5 +/- 0.2) d], the second period [median 1 d, mean (2.3 +/- 0.3) d] and the third period [median 0.5 d, average (1.5 +/- 0.4) d], where the time interval in the second period was longer than that in the first period (! X 0.01). Conclusion China' s core measures to eliminate malaria have been carried out as planned, although the timely malaria diagnosis was slightly affected in the second time period (January 23 to March 17, 2020).Copyright © 2021, National Institute of Parasitic Diseases. All rights reserved.

Opportunities for Virtual Care in Eosinophilic Esophagitis: Real-World Dietary Therapy Practice

Introduction: Dietary therapy for eosinophilic esophagitis (EoE) is an effective first-line treatment aimed at identifying triggers by systematically removing then reintroducing food groups. Success on diet therapy can be augmented by working with a dietitian, but this is not a universal clinical resource. Virtual or telehealth approaches to nutrition care may offer opportunities to implement diet therapy for EoE. We conducted a retrospective study at a tertiary center with six GI dietitians to compare real-world standard in-person versus virtual EoE nutrition practices in terms of access, follow-up< and disease control. Method(s): We identified adults with EoE referred to GI nutrition through query of the electronic medical record by ICD-10 diagnoses and confirmed by chart review. As all nutrition visits prior to the COVID pandemic were performed in-person, standard care was defined as care established in January-December 2019 and virtual care in January-December 2021. Associations were analyzed using Chi-squared and Student's t test (Table). Result(s): A total of 204 patients were included;99 referred for standard in-person and 105 virtual nutrition care. The cohorts did not differ significantly by gender, age at the time of referral, race, and distance lived to our center. Of these, 55.6% (55) standard and 48.6% (51) virtual visits were completed with a dietitian (p=0.341) and 4-food elimination diet was the most commonly planned diet. The majority initiated the diet (80.0% standard, 78.4% virtual, p=0.842) and among them, half successfully attained histologic remission with the elimination phase (63.6% standard, 47.5% virtual, p=0.324). Ultimate treatments plans included remaining on dietary therapy (25.5% standard, 23.5% virtual, p=0.728), no treatment or lost to follow-up (34.6% standard, 25.5% virtual), and medication (25.5% standard, 41.2% virtual). Conclusion(s): There is a growing demand for nutrition care in EoE and in our tertiary practice, we found no differences in the success and response rate on elimination diet or follow-up between patients receiving standard or virtual nutrition care. Virtual approaches to implementing EoE dietary therapy may serve to complement in-person care and offer opportunities for those lacking local dietitian access. However, up to one-third of patients are lost to follow-up or remain untreated, also highlighting a need to identify, understand, and overcome barriers to treatment uptake and disease control .

Cost-effectiveness and economic investment to eliminate chronic hepatitis C in Mexico.

In July 2020, the Mexican Government initiated the National Program for Elimination of Hepatitis C (HCV) under a procurement agreement, securing universal, free access to HCV screening, diagnosis and treatment for 2020-2022. This analysis quantifies the clinical and economic burden of HCV (MXN) under a continuation (or end) to the agreement. A modelling and Delphi approach was used to evaluate the disease burden (2020-2030) and economic impact (2020-2035) of the Historical Base compared to Elimination, assuming the agreement continues (Elimination-Agreement to 2035) or terminates (Elimination-Agreement to 2022). We estimated cumulative costs and the per-patient treatment expenditure needed to achieve net-zero cost (the difference in cumulative costs between the scenario and the base). Elimination is defined as a 90% reduction in new infections, 90% diagnosis coverage, 80% treatment coverage and 65% reduction in mortality by 2030. A viraemic prevalence of 0.55% (0.50-0.60) was estimated on 1st January 2021, corresponding to 745,000 (95% CI 677,000-812,000) viraemic infections in Mexico. The Elimination-Agreement to 2035 would achieve net-zero cost by 2023 and accrue 31.2 billion in cumulative costs. Cumulative costs under the Elimination-Agreement to 2022 are estimated at 74.2 billion. Under Elimination-Agreement to 2022, the per-patient treatment price must decrease to 11,000 to achieve net-zero cost by 2035. The Mexican Government could extend the agreement through 2035 or reduce the cost of HCV treatment to 11,000 to achieve HCV elimination at net-zero cost.

A PHASE 1B STUDY OF ZOTATIFIN FOR THE TREATMENT OF MILD TO MODERATE COVID (PROpel)

Background: Zotatifin (eFT226) is a potent and selective inhibitor of eukaryotic initiation factor 4A (eIF4A), a host RNA helicase required for SARS-CoV-2 replication. In vitro, zotatifin demonstrates broad spectrum antiviral activity against all human coronaviruses tested. Zotatifin has physicochemical and pharmacokinetic (PK) properties suitable for convenient, single subcutaneous (sc) injection. This study assessed the safety, antiviral activity, and PK of zotatifin in non-hospitalized patients (pts) with mild/moderate COVID. Method(s): PROPEL is a randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study in non-hospitalized pts with mild/moderate COVID. At randomization, pts must have had a SARS-CoV-2 positive test within 7 days and at least 1 COVID symptom. Pts were randomized (3:1) to zotatifin or placebo sc in 3 cohorts of 12 pts each. Cohort 1, 2 and 3 received a single dose (SD) of zotatifin of 0.01. 0.02 and 0.035 mg/kg or matching placebo. Safety (adverse event (AE) and laboratory tests), antiviral activity (mid-turbinate nasal swabs and saliva), and plasma PK were collected over 30 days. The primary endpoint was safety;key secondary endpoints included SARS-CoV-2 viral load (VL) and PK. The study was not powered for statistical inferential testing. Result(s): 36 pts were enrolled across all three cohorts and completed a 30-day follow up. Data is currently available for pts in cohorts 1 and 2, 18 and 6 of whom received zotatifin and placebo, respectively. Baseline characteristics were comparable between groups. The most common AE was erythema at injection site in cohort 1 (44%) and cohort 2 (89%), vs. 0% in the zotatifin and pooled placebo groups, respectively. Other AE frequencies were comparable between zotatifin and placebo and no serious AEs were reported. The concentrationtime profile of zotatifin from cohorts 1 and 2 following sc administration was similar to that reported previously following IV administration, demonstrated a terminal elimination half-life (t1/2) of ~ 4 days, high steady-state volume of distribution (Vss) of 31 L/kg, and low plasma clearance (Cl) of 3.9 mL/min/kg. A faster time to viral RNA undetectability was observed with zotatifin vs. placebo (see Fig 1. Not statistically significant). Conclusion(s): Zotatifin was safe, well tolerated and demonstrated a trend in clinical antiviral activity in patients with mild to moderate COVID which supports further clinical development. Zotatifin sc route of administration supports a point of care treatment for COVID.

1-3-7 surveillance and response approach in malaria elimination: China's practice and global adaptions.

There has been a significant reduction in malaria morbidity and mortality worldwide from 2000 to 2019. However, the incidence and mortality increased again in 2020 due to the disruption to services during the COVID-19 pandemic. Surveillance to reduce the burden of malaria, eliminate the disease and prevent its retransmission is, therefore, crucial. The 1-3-7 approach proposed by China has played an important role in eliminating malaria, which has been internationally popularized and adopted in some countries to help eliminate malaria. This review summarizes the experience and lessons of 1-3-7 approach in China and its application in other malaria-endemic countries, so as to provide references for its role in eliminating malaria and preventing retransmission. This approach needs to be tailored and adapted according to the region condition, considering the completion, timeliness and limitation of case-based reactive surveillance and response. It is very important to popularize malaria knowledge, train staff, improve the capacity of health centres and monitor high-risk groups to improve the performance in eliminating settings. After all, remaining vigilance in detecting malaria cases and optimizing surveillance and response systems are critical to achieving and sustaining malaria elimination.

Australia's Response to COVID-19.

Australia suffered two waves of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in 2020: the first lasting from February to July 2020 was mainly caused by transmission from international arrivals, the second lasting from July to November was caused by breaches of hotel quarantine which allowed spreading into the community. From a second wave peak in early August of over 700 new cases a day, by November 2020 Australia had effectively eliminated community transmission. Effective elimination was largely maintained in the first half of 2021 using snap lockdowns, while a slow vaccination programme left Australia lagging behind comparable countries. This paper describes the interventions which led to Australia's relative success up to July 2021, and also some of the failures along the way.

Post-translational modifications: Host defence mechanism, pathogenic weapon, and emerged target of anti-infective drugs

Post-translational modifications are changes introduced to proteins after their translation. They are the means to generate molecular diversity, expand protein function, control catalytic activity and trigger quick responses to a wide range of stimuli. Moreover, they regulate numerous biological processes, including pathogen invasion and host defence mechanisms. It is well established that bacteria and viruses utilize post-translational modifications on their own or their host's proteins to advance their pathogenicity. Doing so, they evade immune responses, target signaling pathways and manipulate host cytoskeleton to achieve survival, replication and propagation. Many bacterial species secrete virulence factors into the host and mediate hostpathogen interactions by inducing post-translational modifications that subvert fundamental cellular processes. Viral pathogens also utilize post translational modifications in order to overcome the host defence mechanisms and hijack its cellular machinery for their replication and propagation. For example, many coronavirus proteins are modified to achieve host invasion, evasion of immune responses and utilization of the host translational machinery. PTMs are also considered potential targets for the development of novel therapeutics from natural products with antibiotic properties, like lasso peptides and lantibiotics. The last decade, significant progress was made in understanding the mechanisms that govern PTMs and mediate regulation of protein structure and function. This urges the identification of relevant molecular targets, the design of specific drugs and the discovery of PTM-based medicine. Therefore, PTMs emerge as a highly promising field for the investigation and discovery of new therapeutics for many infectious diseases.Copyright © 2021 Bentham Science Publishers.

Public health interventions, priority populations, and the impact of COVID-19 disruptions on hepatitis C elimination among people who have injected drugs in Montreal (Canada): A modeling study.

BACKGROUND: In Montreal (Canada), high hepatitis C virus (HCV) seroincidence (21 per 100 person-years in 2017) persists among people who have injected drugs (PWID) despite relatively high testing rates and coverage of needle and syringe programs (NSP) and opioid agonist therapy (OAT). We assessed the potential of interventions to achieve HCV elimination (80% incidence reduction and 65% reduction in HCV-related mortality between 2015 and 2030) in the context of COVID-19 disruptions among all PWID and PWID living with HIV. METHODS: Using a dynamic model of HCV-HIV co-transmission, we simulated increases in NSP (from 82% to 95%) and OAT (from 33% to 40%) coverage, HCV testing (every 6 months), or treatment rate (100 per 100 person-years) starting in 2022 among all PWID and PWID living with HIV. We also modeled treatment scale-up among active PWID only (i.e., people who report injecting in the past six months). We reduced intervention levels in 2020-2021 due to COVID-19-related disruptions. Outcomes included HCV incidence, prevalence, and mortality, and proportions of averted chronic HCV infections and deaths. RESULTS: COVID-19-related disruptions could have caused temporary rebounds in HCV transmission. Further increasing NSP/OAT or HCV testing had little impact on incidence. Scaling-up treatment among all PWID achieved incidence and mortality targets among all PWID and PWID living with HIV. Focusing treatment on active PWID could achieve elimination, yet fewer projected deaths were averted (36% versus 48%). CONCLUSIONS: HCV treatment scale-up among all PWID will be required to eliminate HCV in high-incidence and prevalence settings. Achieving elimination by 2030 will entail concerted efforts to restore and enhance pre-pandemic levels of HCV prevention and care.

Collaborative Referral Model for Hepatitis C Screening and Treatment in a Remote Mountainous Region of Taiwan during the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Community-based screening for the hepatitis C virus (HCV) decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. We developed a collaborative referral model between a primary clinic (Liouguei District Public Health Center, LDPHC) and a tertiary referral center to increase HCV screening and treatment uptake in a mountainous region of Taiwan. Once-in-a-lifetime hepatitis B and C screening services established by the Taiwan National Health Insurance were performed at LDPHC. Antibody-to-HCV (anti-HCV)-seropositive patients received scheduled referrals and took a shuttle bus to E-Da hospital for HCV RNA testing on their first visit. Direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) were prescribed for HCV-viremic patients on their second visit. From October 2020 to September 2022, of 3835 residents eligible for HCV screening in Liouguei District, 1879 (49%) received anti-HCV testing at LDPHC. The overall HCV screening coverage rate increased from 40% before referral to 69.4% after referral. Of the 79 anti-HCV-seropositive patients, 70 (88.6%) were successfully referred. Of the 38 HCV-viremic patients, 35 (92.1%) received DAA therapy, and 32 (91.4%) achieved sustained virological response. The collaborative referral model demonstrates a good model for HCV screening and access to care and treatment in a Taiwan mountainous region, even during the COVID-19 pandemic. Sustained referral is possible using this routine referral model.

Pandemic response strategies and threshold phenomena.

This paper critically evaluates the Suppression Threshold Strategy (STS) for controlling Covid-19 (C-19). STS asserts a "fundamental distinction" between suppression and mitigation strategies, reflected in very different outcomes in eventual mortality depending on whether reproductive number R is caused to fall below 1. We show that there is no real distinction based on any value of R which falls in any case from early on in an epidemic wave. We show that actual mortality outcomes lay on a continuum, correlating with suppression levels, but not exhibiting any step changes or threshold effects. We argue that an excessive focus on achieving suppression at all costs, driven by the erroneous notion that suppression is a threshold, led to a lack of information on how to trade off the effects of different specific interventions. This led many countries to continue with inappropriate intervention-packages even after it became clear that their initial goal was not going to be attained. Future pandemic planning must support the design of "Plan B", which may be quite different from "Plan A".

Undoing elimination: Modelling Australia's way out of the COVID-19 pandemic.

In the middle of 2020, with its borders tightly closed to the rest of the world, Australia almost achieved the local elimination of COVID-19 and subsequently maintained 'COVID-zero' in most parts of the country for the following year. Australia has since faced the relatively unique challenge of deliberately 'undoing' these achievements by progressively easing restrictions and reopening. Exploring the role of mathematical modelling in navigating a course through the pandemic through qualitative interviews with modellers and others working closely with modelling, we argue that each of these two significant phases of Australia's COVID-19 experience can be understood as distinct forms of 'model society'. This refers at once to the society enacted through the governance of risk, and to the visions of societal outcomes - whether to be sought or to be avoided - that are offered up by models. Each of the two model societies came about through a reflexive engagement with risk facilitated by models, and the iterative relationship between the representations of society enacted within models and the possibilities that these representations generate in the material world beyond them.

HIV-related mortality in the United States during the COVID-19 pandemic: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: US progress toward ending the HIV epidemic was disrupted during the COVID-19 pandemic. OBJECTIVES: To determine the impact of the pandemic on HIV-related mortality and potential disparities. METHODS: Using data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the United States (US) Census Bureau, HIV-related mortality data of decedents aged ≥25 years between 2012 and 2021 were analyzed. Excess HIV-related mortality rates were estimated by determining the difference between observed and projected mortality rates during the pandemic. The trends of mortality were quantified with joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: Of the 79,725 deaths documented in adults aged 25 years and older between 2012 and 2021, a significant downward trend was noted in HIV-related mortality rates before the pandemic, followed by a surge during the pandemic. The observed mortality rates were 18.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 13.1%-25.5%) and 25.4% (95%CI: 19.9%-30.4%) higher than the projected values in 2020 and 2021, respectively. Both of these percentages were higher than that in the general population in 2020 (16.4%, 95%CI: 14.9%-17.9%) and 2021 (19.8%, 95%CI: 18.0%-21.6%), respectively. Increased HIV-related mortality was observed across all age subgroups, but those aged 25-44 years demonstrated the greatest relative increase and the lowest COVID-19-related deaths when compared to middle- and old-aged decedents. Disparities were observed across racial/ethnic subgroups and geographic regions. CONCLUSIONS: The pandemic led to a reversal in the attainments made to reduce the prevalence of HIV. Individuals living with HIV were disproportionately affected during the pandemic. Thoughtful policies are needed to address the disparity in excess HIV-related mortality.

External Validation of the Augmented Renal Clearance Predictor in Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients.

The ARC predictor is a prediction model for augmented renal clearance (ARC) on the next intensive care unit (ICU) day that showed good performance in a general ICU setting. In this study, we performed a retrospective external validation of the ARC predictor in critically ill coronavirus disease 19 (COVID-19) patients admitted to the ICU of the University Hospitals Leuven from February 2020 to January 2021. All patient-days that had serum creatinine levels available and measured creatinine clearance on the next ICU day were enrolled. The performance of the ARC predictor was evaluated using discrimination, calibration, and decision curves. A total of 120 patients (1064 patient-days) were included, and ARC was found in 57 (47.5%) patients, corresponding to 246 (23.1%) patient-days. The ARC predictor demonstrated good discrimination and calibration (AUROC of 0.86, calibration slope of 1.18, and calibration-in-the-large of 0.14) and a wide clinical-usefulness range. At the default classification threshold of 20% in the original study, the sensitivity and specificity were 72% and 81%, respectively. The ARC predictor is able to accurately predict ARC in critically ill COVID-19 patients. These results support the potential of the ARC predictor to optimize renally cleared drug dosages in this specific ICU population. Investigation of dosing regimen improvement was not included in this study and remains a challenge for future studies.

The British HIV Association national clinical audit 2021: Management of HIV and hepatitis C coinfection.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to describe clinical policies for the management of people with HIV/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection and to audit routine monitoring and assessment of people with HIV/HCV coinfection attending UK HIV care. METHODS: This was a clinic survey and retrospective case-note review. HIV clinics in the UK participated in the audit from May to July 2021 by completing an online questionnaire regarding their clinic's policies for the management of people with HIV/HCV coinfection, and by contributing to a case-note review of people living with HIV with detectable HCV RNA who were under the care of their service. RESULTS: Ninety-five clinics participated in the clinic survey; of these, 15 (15.8%) were regional specialist centres, 19 (20.0%) were HIV services with their own coinfection clinics, 40 (42.1%) were HIV services that referred coinfected individuals to a local hepatology service and 20 (21.1%) were HIV services that referred to a regional specialist centre. Eighty-one clinics provided full caseload estimates; of the approximately 3951 people with a history of HIV/HCV coinfection accessing their clinics, only 4.9% were believed to have detectable HCV RNA, 3.15% of whom were already receiving or approved for direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. In total, 29 (30.5%) of the clinics reported an impact of COVID-19 on coinfection care, including delays or reductions in the frequency of services, monitoring, treatment initiation and appointments, and changes to the way that treatment was dispensed. Case-note reviews were provided for 283 people with detectable HCV RNA from 74 clinics (median age 42 years, 74.6% male, 56.2% HCV genotype 1, 22.3% HCV genotype 3). Overall, 56% had not received treatment for HCV, primarily due to lack of engagement in care (54.7%) and/or being uncontactable (16.4%). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that the small number of people with HIV with detectable HCV RNA in the UK should mean that it is possible to achieve HCV micro-elimination. However, more work is needed to improve engagement in care for those who are untreated for HCV.